Conditional severe weather risk possible on Friday

Heavy rain continues into Saturday
Published: May. 18, 2022 at 3:57 PM CDT
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PEORIA (Heart of Illinois ABC) - Our weather will remain quiet through tomorrow, but expect chances for showers and storms to return on Friday. However, some of the latest forecast data is suggesting that we have a couple of ways out of a potential severe weather scenario. Whether severe weather occurs or not, showers and storms will be possible Friday evening through Saturday.

Tonight and Tomorrow:

Expect passing clouds overnight with lows fall back into the upper 50s tomorrow morning. Areas of fog will be possible tonight and tomorrow morning, some of which may be dense. Keep that in mind for tomorrow morning’s commute.

We’ll see lots of sunshine tomorrow with highs in the mid 80s. It may be a little breezy at times with wind gusts as high as 25 mph.

The Next Big Thing:

We’ve been talking about a chance for strong to severe storms on Friday for the last few days. Here’s the latest.

I feel a little less confident in our severe weather risk on Friday due to some new forecast data. The two limiting factors for thunderstorm formation will be the timing and location of the cold front and how long the cap holds over us Friday afternoon and evening.

Some of the models are suggesting that the front could enter the area as early as early Friday afternoon and hold the cap in place throughout the evening. If this happens, some showers and storms still may be possible, but our severe weather risk would be much lower.

For now, we’ll still continue to keep an eye on chances for strong or severe storms Friday evening, especially east of the Illinois River. High winds and large hail would be the main threats if severe weather does occur.

Rain will continue at times Friday night and Saturday with rainfall totals upward of 0.5-1″ by Saturday night.

Tune in this evening for your full First Alert 10 Day Forecast!

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